Josh Samman vs Tim Boetsch

July 12, 2016

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1027
(-46)
Josh Samman
Winner: Tim Boetsch
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:49

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Samman-46
Tim Boetsch+54
1094
(+54)
Tim Boetsch

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -31Tim Boetsch: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTim Boetsch
Total UFC Fights519
Experience Gap-1414
Experience ELO1 0271 090
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Tim Boetsch's 14-fight experience advantage (19 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Boetsch for the expected result. Had Josh Samman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -23Tim Boetsch: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTim Boetsch
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0161 035
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -48Tim Boetsch: +98

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTim Boetsch
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:493:49
Win Type ELO1 1561 254
ELO Change-48+98
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What Happened

Tim Boetsch gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -135Tim Boetsch: +135

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTim Boetsch
Significant Strikes Landed1738
Significant Strikes Attempted3958
Total Strikes Landed2398
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0521 072
ELO Change-135+135
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What Happened

Tim Boetsch dominated the striking exchanges with 98 vs 23 total strikes, 38 vs 17 significant strikes, 65.5% vs 43.6% accuracy. Tim Boetsch capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -74Tim Boetsch: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTim Boetsch
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted32
Ground Control Time2:074:21
Ground Strikes Landed024
Ground ELO8851 013
ELO Change-74+74
💡

What Happened

Tim Boetsch controlled Josh Samman on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:21 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -14Tim Boetsch: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTim Boetsch
Days Since Last Fight207178
Activity ELO1 0331 189
ELO Change-14+25
💡

What Happened

Tim Boetsch demonstrated solid activity levels with 178 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Boetsch capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Samman's 207-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -22Tim Boetsch: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTim Boetsch
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0311 066
ELO Change-22+24
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What Happened

Tim Boetsch started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Samman is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Samman: -23Tim Boetsch: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh SammanTim Boetsch
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0161 031
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.