May 22, 2015
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Sampo | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 908 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Josh Sampo | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Sampo | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 944 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Justin Scoggins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Josh Sampo | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 128 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 895 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Justin Scoggins controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 35 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 38.5% accuracy. Justin Scoggins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Sampo | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:27 | 0:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 885 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Justin Scoggins did not secure a significant ground advantage against Josh Sampo on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:31 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Josh Sampo | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 308 | 260 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Justin Scoggins demonstrated standard activity with 260 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Justin Scoggins capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Sampo's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Sampo | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Justin Scoggins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Sampo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Sampo | Justin Scoggins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.