July 25, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josh Thomson | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +30 |
King Green overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Thomson.
| Metric | Josh Thomson | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josh Thomson | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 205 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with King Green receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Josh Thomson | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 141 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 202 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
King Green edged the striking exchanges with 59 vs 45 significant strikes. King Green capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Josh Thomson | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 0:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 102 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
King Green did not secure a significant ground advantage against Josh Thomson on the ground with 0:52 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Josh Thomson | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 059 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
King Green demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, King Green capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Thomson's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josh Thomson | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +27 |
King Green extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Thomson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josh Thomson | King Green |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 013 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.