Josh Thomson vs Yves Edwards

August 20, 2004

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1057
(-28)
Josh Thomson
Winner: Yves Edwards
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:32

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Josh Thomson-28
Yves Edwards+38
1178
(+38)
Yves Edwards

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Thomson: -28Yves Edwards: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh ThomsonYves Edwards
Total UFC Fights38
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 0311 124
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yves Edwards for the expected result. Had Josh Thomson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Thomson: -20Yves Edwards: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh ThomsonYves Edwards
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0231 084
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Thomson: -31Yves Edwards: +67

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh ThomsonYves Edwards
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:324:32
Win Type ELO1 0841 274
ELO Change-31+67
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:32, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Thomson: -73Yves Edwards: +73

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh ThomsonYves Edwards
Significant Strikes Landed1316
Significant Strikes Attempted2221
Total Strikes Landed3324
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 1331 336
ELO Change-73+73
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards controlled the striking exchanges with 76.2% vs 59.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yves Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Thomson: -24Yves Edwards: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh ThomsonYves Edwards
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted31
Ground Control Time1:370:40
Ground Strikes Landed07
Ground ELO1 0751 164
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Thomson: -14Yves Edwards: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh ThomsonYves Edwards
Days Since Last Fight203141
Activity ELO1 0541 215
ELO Change-14+28
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yves Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Thomson's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Thomson: -18Yves Edwards: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh ThomsonYves Edwards
Win Streak06
Win Streak ELO1 0321 142
ELO Change-18+43
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Josh Thomson's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Josh Thomson: -20Yves Edwards: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJosh ThomsonYves Edwards
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0231 084
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.