March 10, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 868 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +22 |
Michel Prazeres overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joshua Burkman.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 932 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:42 | 1:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 989 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +64 |
Michel Prazeres earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 877 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Michel Prazeres controlled the striking exchanges with 34 vs 1 total strikes, 24 vs 1 significant strikes, 70.6% vs 100.0% accuracy. Michel Prazeres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 919 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Michel Prazeres dominated Joshua Burkman on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:12 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 035 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +27 |
Michel Prazeres demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michel Prazeres capitalized on this activity level, while Joshua Burkman's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 949 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +20 |
Michel Prazeres extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joshua Burkman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Michel Prazeres |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 932 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.