January 22, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 154 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Mike Swick earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 112 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Mike Swick controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 39 significant strikes. Mike Swick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:44 | 1:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 110 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Mike Swick did not secure a significant ground advantage against Joshua Burkman on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:24 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 96 | 292 |
| Activity ELO | 1 141 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Mike Swick demonstrated standard activity with 292 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Mike Swick capitalized on this activity level, while Joshua Burkman's 96-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Mike Swick started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joshua Burkman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.