August 22, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 945 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Patrick Cote's 5-fight experience advantage (18 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Patrick Cote for the expected result. Had Joshua Burkman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:26 | 1:26 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 007 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +51 |
Patrick Cote gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 93 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 106 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 941 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Patrick Cote dominated the striking exchanges with 106 vs 49 total strikes, 60 vs 45 significant strikes, 64.5% vs 49.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Patrick Cote capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 2:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 922 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Patrick Cote controlled Joshua Burkman on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:40 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 058 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +34 |
Patrick Cote demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Patrick Cote capitalized on this activity level, while Joshua Burkman's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 975 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Patrick Cote extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joshua Burkman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Patrick Cote |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.