May 28, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +34 |
Paul Felder overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Joshua Burkman.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 965 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 035 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Paul Felder earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 97 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 973 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Paul Felder slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Paul Felder capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:25 | 1:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 993 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Paul Felder did not secure a significant ground advantage against Joshua Burkman on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:13 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 077 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +39 |
Paul Felder demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Felder capitalized on this activity level, while Joshua Burkman's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Paul Felder extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joshua Burkman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joshua Burkman | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 965 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

