November 10, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joshua Van | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 036 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 050 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Joshua Van earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 156 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 300 | 197 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 165 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 055 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Joshua Van dominated the striking exchanges with 165 vs 78 total strikes, 156 vs 75 significant strikes, 52.0% vs 38.1% accuracy. Joshua Van capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:03 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Joshua Van edged out Kevin Borjas on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:03 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 057 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Joshua Van demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joshua Van capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Borjas's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Joshua Van extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Borjas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 036 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.