Joshua Van vs Rei Tsuruya

March 8, 2025

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1144
(+25)
Joshua Van
Winner: Joshua Van
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Joshua Van+25
Rei Tsuruya-22
1014
(-22)
Rei Tsuruya

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Joshua Van: +26Rei Tsuruya: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJoshua VanRei Tsuruya
Total UFC Fights72
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 1531 044
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Joshua Van's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joshua Van for the expected result. Had Rei Tsuruya pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Joshua Van: +18Rei Tsuruya: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJoshua VanRei Tsuruya
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0881 003
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Joshua Van: +28Rei Tsuruya: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricJoshua VanRei Tsuruya
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1891 013
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Joshua Van earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Joshua Van: +33Rei Tsuruya: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricJoshua VanRei Tsuruya
Significant Strikes Landed5932
Significant Strikes Attempted9784
Total Strikes Landed12747
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 142992
ELO Change+33-33
💡

What Happened

Joshua Van dominated the striking exchanges with 127 vs 47 total strikes, 59 vs 32 significant strikes, 60.8% vs 38.1% accuracy. Joshua Van capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Joshua Van: +23Rei Tsuruya: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJoshua VanRei Tsuruya
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted021
Ground Control Time0:503:49
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 1391 039
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Joshua Van did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rei Tsuruya on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:50 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Joshua Van: +26Rei Tsuruya: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricJoshua VanRei Tsuruya
Days Since Last Fight91253
Activity ELO1 2411 012
ELO Change+26-10
💡

What Happened

Joshua Van demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joshua Van capitalized on this activity level, while Rei Tsuruya's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Joshua Van: +22Rei Tsuruya: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJoshua VanRei Tsuruya
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 1091 006
ELO Change+22-17
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What Happened

Joshua Van extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rei Tsuruya is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Joshua Van: +18Rei Tsuruya: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJoshua VanRei Tsuruya
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0881 003
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.