June 23, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Joshua Van | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 056 | 850 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Joshua Van overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Zhalgas Zhumagulov.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 009 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Joshua Van receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 120 | 103 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 234 | 287 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 131 | 104 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 016 | 841 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Joshua Van controlled the striking exchanges with 131 vs 104 total strikes, 120 vs 103 significant strikes, 51.3% vs 35.9% accuracy. Joshua Van capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 1:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 891 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Joshua Van did not secure a significant ground advantage against Zhalgas Zhumagulov on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 017 | 921 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Joshua Van demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Joshua Van capitalized on this activity level, while Zhalgas Zhumagulov's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 018 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Joshua Van started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zhalgas Zhumagulov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Joshua Van | Zhalgas Zhumagulov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.