January 20, 2023
Women's Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Josiane Nunes | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 119 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -12 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Josiane Nunes | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Josiane Nunes | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 163 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Josiane Nunes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Josiane Nunes | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 102 | 117 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 211 | 251 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 122 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 184 | 881 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
Zarah Fairn controlled the striking through superior volume (122 vs 107 total strikes), significant strike advantage (117 vs 102). However, since Zarah Fairn lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Josiane Nunes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Josiane Nunes | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:02 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 057 | 777 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Josiane Nunes did not secure a significant ground advantage against Zarah Fairn on the ground with 2:02 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Josiane Nunes | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 329 | 1 057 |
| Activity ELO | 1 064 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Josiane Nunes demonstrated standard activity with 329 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Josiane Nunes capitalized on this activity level, while Zarah Fairn's 1057-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Josiane Nunes | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Josiane Nunes extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zarah Fairn is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Josiane Nunes | Zarah Fairn |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.