April 28, 2023
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Journey Newson | Marcus McGhee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 907 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Marcus McGhee overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Journey Newson.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Marcus McGhee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 945 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Marcus McGhee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:03 | 2:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 914 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +56 |
Marcus McGhee earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:03, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Journey Newson was submitted.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Marcus McGhee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 46 | 53 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 851 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Marcus McGhee controlled the striking exchanges with 25 vs 13 significant strikes, 47.2% vs 28.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Marcus McGhee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Marcus McGhee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:03 | 0:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 818 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Marcus McGhee dominated Journey Newson on the ground with 0:31 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Marcus McGhee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 947 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Marcus McGhee demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Marcus McGhee capitalized on this activity level, while Journey Newson's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Marcus McGhee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 949 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Marcus McGhee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Journey Newson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Marcus McGhee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 945 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.