September 18, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Journey Newson | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:41 | 0:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 935 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +86 |
Randy Costa secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:41 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 882 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Randy Costa controlled the striking exchanges with 66.7% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Randy Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 901 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | 337 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Randy Costa demonstrated standard activity with 337 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Randy Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Journey Newson's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Randy Costa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Journey Newson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Journey Newson | Randy Costa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.