February 7, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Juan Adams | Justin Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +38 |
Justin Tafa overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Juan Adams.
| Metric | Juan Adams | Justin Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 957 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Juan Adams | Justin Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:59 | 1:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +113 |
Justin Tafa earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Juan Adams | Justin Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 824 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Justin Tafa controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Justin Tafa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Juan Adams | Justin Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 914 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Juan Adams | Justin Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 959 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Justin Tafa demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Justin Tafa capitalized on this activity level, while Juan Adams's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Juan Adams | Justin Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 959 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Justin Tafa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Juan Adams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Juan Adams | Justin Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 957 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.