Julian Erosa vs Marcin Wrzosek

December 10, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1022
(+22)
Julian Erosa
Winner: Julian Erosa
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Julian Erosa+22
Marcin Wrzosek-21
979
(-21)
Marcin Wrzosek

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Julian Erosa: +21Marcin Wrzosek: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJulian ErosaMarcin Wrzosek
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Julian Erosa: +21Marcin Wrzosek: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJulian ErosaMarcin Wrzosek
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Julian Erosa: +11Marcin Wrzosek: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricJulian ErosaMarcin Wrzosek
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 011990
ELO Change+11-10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Julian Erosa receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Julian Erosa: +23Marcin Wrzosek: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJulian ErosaMarcin Wrzosek
Significant Strikes Landed6152
Significant Strikes Attempted108119
Total Strikes Landed107124
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 023977
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

Julian Erosa edged the striking exchanges with 61 vs 52 significant strikes, 56.5% vs 43.7% accuracy. Julian Erosa capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Julian Erosa: +34Marcin Wrzosek: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricJulian ErosaMarcin Wrzosek
Takedowns Landed23
Takedowns Attempted312
Ground Control Time4:394:39
Ground Strikes Landed35
Ground ELO1 034966
ELO Change+34-34
💡

What Happened

Julian Erosa edged out Marcin Wrzosek on the ground with 2 takedowns, 4:39 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Julian Erosa: +21Marcin Wrzosek: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJulian ErosaMarcin Wrzosek
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Julian Erosa demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Julian Erosa capitalized on this activity level, while Marcin Wrzosek's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Julian Erosa: +23Marcin Wrzosek: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJulian ErosaMarcin Wrzosek
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Julian Erosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcin Wrzosek is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Julian Erosa: +21Marcin Wrzosek: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJulian ErosaMarcin Wrzosek
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.