February 19, 2021
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 951 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Julian Erosa's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Julian Erosa for the expected result. Had Nate Landwehr pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 989 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:56 | 0:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 096 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +131 | -50 |
Julian Erosa secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:56 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 930 | 798 |
| ELO Change | +139 | -139 |
Julian Erosa controlled the striking exchanges with 15 vs 9 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Julian Erosa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 025 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 281 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -27 |
Julian Erosa demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Julian Erosa capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Landwehr's 281-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -24 |
Julian Erosa extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Landwehr is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Nate Landwehr |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 989 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.