March 22, 2024
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Ricardo Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Julian Erosa's 2-fight experience advantage (14 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Julian Erosa for the expected result. Had Ricardo Ramos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Ricardo Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Ricardo Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:15 | 2:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 163 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -49 |
Julian Erosa earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Ricardo Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 894 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Ricardo Ramos lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Julian Erosa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Ricardo Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 097 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Julian Erosa edged out Ricardo Ramos on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Ricardo Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 330 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Julian Erosa demonstrated standard activity with 330 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Julian Erosa capitalized on this activity level, while Ricardo Ramos's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Ricardo Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Julian Erosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricardo Ramos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Ricardo Ramos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.