June 26, 2020
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Sean Woodson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 905 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Julian Erosa's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Julian Erosa for the expected result. Had Sean Woodson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Sean Woodson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 966 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Sean Woodson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:44 | 2:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 965 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -60 |
Julian Erosa earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:44, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sean Woodson was submitted.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Sean Woodson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 103 | 106 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 206 | 219 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 107 | 116 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 791 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Sean Woodson controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Sean Woodson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Julian Erosa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Sean Woodson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:13 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 967 | 894 |
| ELO Change | +124 | -124 |
Julian Erosa dominated Sean Woodson on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 1:13 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Sean Woodson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 406 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 965 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -26 |
Julian Erosa demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Julian Erosa capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Woodson's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Sean Woodson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 970 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Julian Erosa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Woodson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julian Erosa | Sean Woodson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 966 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

