February 12, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 042 | 882 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -21 |
Julian Marquez overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Maki Pitolo.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:17 | 4:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -34 |
Julian Marquez earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:17, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Maki Pitolo was submitted.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 100 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Julian Marquez edged the striking exchanges with 41 vs 32 significant strikes, 41.0% vs 49.2% accuracy. Julian Marquez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:54 | 9:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 972 | 862 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Julian Marquez edged out Maki Pitolo on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:54 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 954 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -19 |
Julian Marquez demonstrated extended layoff with 954 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Julian Marquez capitalized on this activity level, while Maki Pitolo's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 020 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Julian Marquez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maki Pitolo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.