June 7, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +48 |
Zachary Reese overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Julian Marquez.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 970 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:20 | 0:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 010 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +158 |
Zachary Reese secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:20 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 728 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Zachary Reese controlled the striking exchanges with 6 vs 1 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 100.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Zachary Reese capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 940 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 462 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 089 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +36 |
Zachary Reese demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Zachary Reese capitalized on this activity level, while Julian Marquez's 462-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Zachary Reese started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julian Marquez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julian Marquez | Zachary Reese |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 969 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.