June 7, 2025
UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 185 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +55 |
Kayla Harrison overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Julianna Pena.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 212 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +95 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Kayla Harrison captured the UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:55 | 4:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 261 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +94 |
Kayla Harrison earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:55, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Julianna Pena was submitted.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 203 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Kayla Harrison controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 15 total strikes, 30 vs 9 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 30.0% accuracy. Kayla Harrison capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 6:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 155 | 1 421 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Kayla Harrison dominated Julianna Pena on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:05 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 133 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Kayla Harrison demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kayla Harrison capitalized on this activity level, while Julianna Pena's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 133 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +35 |
Kayla Harrison extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julianna Pena is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Kayla Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 100 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.