July 12, 2019
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Nicco Montano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 107 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Julianna Pena's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Julianna Pena for the expected result. Had Nicco Montano pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Nicco Montano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Nicco Montano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 188 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Julianna Pena earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Nicco Montano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 108 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 239 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Julianna Pena controlled the striking exchanges with 108 vs 59 total strikes, 45 vs 38 significant strikes. Julianna Pena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Nicco Montano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:37 | 6:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 099 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Julianna Pena edged out Nicco Montano on the ground with 2 takedowns, 4:37 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Nicco Montano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 896 | 589 |
| Activity ELO | 1 077 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -19 |
Julianna Pena demonstrated extended layoff with 896 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Julianna Pena capitalized on this activity level, while Nicco Montano's 589-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Nicco Montano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 092 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Julianna Pena started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nicco Montano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Nicco Montano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 073 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.