October 5, 2024
UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 219 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -37 |
Julianna Pena overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Raquel Pennington.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 244 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -22 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Julianna Pena captured the UFC Women's Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 322 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Julianna Pena receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 92 | 92 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 260 | 317 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 123 | 112 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 276 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Raquel Pennington controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Raquel Pennington lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Julianna Pena's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:40 | 0:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 237 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Julianna Pena edged out Raquel Pennington on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:40 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 799 | 260 |
| Activity ELO | 1 159 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -29 |
Julianna Pena demonstrated extended layoff with 799 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Julianna Pena capitalized on this activity level, while Raquel Pennington's 260-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 160 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -27 |
Julianna Pena started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Raquel Pennington is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 126 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.