January 22, 2021
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 115 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -29 |
Julianna Pena overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sara McMann.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:39 | 3:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 217 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -38 |
Julianna Pena earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:39, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sara McMann was submitted.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 140 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 252 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Julianna Pena dominated the striking exchanges with 140 vs 28 total strikes, 38 vs 21 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 38.9% accuracy. Julianna Pena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:55 | 7:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 134 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Julianna Pena controlled Sara McMann on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:55 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 1 113 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -23 |
Julianna Pena demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Julianna Pena capitalized on this activity level, while Sara McMann's 364-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 094 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Julianna Pena started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sara McMann is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 072 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.