January 27, 2017
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:29 | 4:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 160 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +94 |
Valentina Shevchenko earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:29, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Julianna Pena was submitted.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 223 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Julianna Pena controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (78 vs 46 total strikes), significant strike advantage (27 vs 13). However, since Julianna Pena lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Valentina Shevchenko's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:00 | 2:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 063 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -119 | +119 |
Valentina Shevchenko dominated Julianna Pena on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 2:43 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Valentina Shevchenko demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Valentina Shevchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Julianna Pena's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 072 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +30 |
Valentina Shevchenko extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julianna Pena is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julianna Pena | Valentina Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

