February 2, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Luana Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 934 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Luana Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 942 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Luana Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:52 | 4:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +97 |
Luana Carolina gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Luana Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 136 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 138 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 812 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Luana Carolina dominated the striking exchanges with 138 vs 21 total strikes, 66 vs 16 significant strikes, 48.5% vs 27.1% accuracy. Luana Carolina capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Luana Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:47 | 5:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 838 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Luana Carolina controlled Julija Stoliarenko on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 5:27 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Luana Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 218 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Luana Carolina demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Luana Carolina capitalized on this activity level, while Julija Stoliarenko's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Luana Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 951 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +21 |
Luana Carolina extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julija Stoliarenko is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Luana Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 942 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.