August 7, 2020
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 953 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Yana Santos's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yana Santos for the expected result. Had Julija Stoliarenko pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 956 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Yana Santos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 26 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 209 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 895 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Yana Santos dominated the striking exchanges with 209 vs 30 total strikes, 43 vs 6 significant strikes, 75.4% vs 23.1% accuracy. Yana Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 13:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 907 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Yana Santos controlled Julija Stoliarenko on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 13:16 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 617 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Yana Santos demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Yana Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Julija Stoliarenko's 617-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Yana Santos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julija Stoliarenko is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julija Stoliarenko | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.