November 11, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julio Arce | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 127 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Montel Jackson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 126 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Montel Jackson controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 44 total strikes, 48 vs 26 significant strikes, 45.3% vs 20.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Montel Jackson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 5:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 991 | 1 237 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Montel Jackson landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 421 |
| Activity ELO | 1 061 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +17 |
Montel Jackson demonstrated extended layoff with 421 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Montel Jackson capitalized on this activity level, while Julio Arce's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Montel Jackson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julio Arce is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Montel Jackson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.