November 2, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julio Arce | Sheymon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 025 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Sheymon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Sheymon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 077 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sheymon Moraes receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Sheymon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 119 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 962 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -108 | +108 |
Sheymon Moraes dominated the striking exchanges with 32 vs 25 significant strikes, 31.4% vs 21.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Sheymon Moraes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Sheymon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:11 | 1:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 063 | 911 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Sheymon Moraes landed 2 knockdowns followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Sheymon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 156 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 034 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +60 |
Sheymon Moraes demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sheymon Moraes capitalized on this activity level, while Julio Arce's 156-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Sheymon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Sheymon Moraes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julio Arce is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Sheymon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.