Julio Arce vs Song Yadong

November 12, 2021

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1040
(-23)
Julio Arce
Winner: Song Yadong
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:35

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Julio Arce-23
Song Yadong+31
1210
(+31)
Song Yadong

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Arce: -21Song Yadong: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio ArceSong Yadong
Total UFC Fights79
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0471 206
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Song Yadong's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Song Yadong for the expected result. Had Julio Arce pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Arce: -17Song Yadong: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio ArceSong Yadong
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0181 116
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Arce: -29Song Yadong: +60

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio ArceSong Yadong
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:351:35
Win Type ELO1 1391 335
ELO Change-29+60
💡

What Happened

Song Yadong gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Arce: -42Song Yadong: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio ArceSong Yadong
Significant Strikes Landed1330
Significant Strikes Attempted7880
Total Strikes Landed1330
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0181 347
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Song Yadong controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 13 significant strikes, 37.5% vs 16.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Song Yadong capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Arce: -35Song Yadong: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio ArceSong Yadong
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO1 0041 197
ELO Change-35+35
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Arce: -14Song Yadong: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio ArceSong Yadong
Days Since Last Fight11399
Activity ELO1 0431 220
ELO Change-14+34
💡

What Happened

Song Yadong demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Song Yadong capitalized on this activity level, while Julio Arce's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Arce: -16Song Yadong: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio ArceSong Yadong
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0291 144
ELO Change-16+20
💡

What Happened

Song Yadong extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julio Arce is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Arce: -17Song Yadong: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio ArceSong Yadong
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0181 115
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.