November 12, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Julio Arce | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Song Yadong's 2-fight experience advantage (9 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Song Yadong for the expected result. Had Julio Arce pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:35 | 1:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 139 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +60 |
Song Yadong gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 018 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Song Yadong controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 13 significant strikes, 37.5% vs 16.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Song Yadong capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 004 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +34 |
Song Yadong demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Song Yadong capitalized on this activity level, while Julio Arce's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +20 |
Song Yadong extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julio Arce is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Julio Arce | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

