Julio Paulino vs TJ Grant

September 24, 2010

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

942
(-27)
Julio Paulino
Winner: TJ Grant
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Julio Paulino-27
TJ Grant+29
1050
(+29)
TJ Grant

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Paulino: -25TJ Grant: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio PaulinoTJ Grant
Total UFC Fights25
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9501 068
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding TJ Grant for the expected result. Had Julio Paulino pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Paulino: -20TJ Grant: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio PaulinoTJ Grant
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9601 021
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Paulino: -28TJ Grant: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio PaulinoTJ Grant
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9351 111
ELO Change-28+28
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Paulino: -18TJ Grant: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio PaulinoTJ Grant
Significant Strikes Landed1217
Significant Strikes Attempted4233
Total Strikes Landed3936
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9431 093
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 17 vs 12 significant strikes, 51.5% vs 28.6% accuracy. TJ Grant capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Paulino: -70TJ Grant: +70

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio PaulinoTJ Grant
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted06
Ground Control Time3:129:00
Ground Strikes Landed49
Ground ELO863998
ELO Change-70+70
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant controlled Julio Paulino on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 9:00 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Paulino: -18TJ Grant: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio PaulinoTJ Grant
Days Since Last Fight188140
Activity ELO9621 064
ELO Change-18+36
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, TJ Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Julio Paulino's 188-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Paulino: -19TJ Grant: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio PaulinoTJ Grant
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9611 027
ELO Change-19+21
💡

What Happened

TJ Grant started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julio Paulino is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Julio Paulino: -20TJ Grant: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJulio PaulinoTJ Grant
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9601 021
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.