May 7, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | JunYong Park | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
JunYong Park's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding JunYong Park for the expected result. Had Tafon Nchukwi pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | JunYong Park | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | JunYong Park | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 057 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with JunYong Park earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | JunYong Park | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 145 | 136 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 79 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 080 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
JunYong Park edged the striking exchanges with 71 vs 58 significant strikes. JunYong Park capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | JunYong Park | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:49 | 0:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
JunYong Park controlled Tafon Nchukwi on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 3:49 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | JunYong Park | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 069 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
JunYong Park demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, JunYong Park capitalized on this activity level, while Tafon Nchukwi's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | JunYong Park | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
JunYong Park extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tafon Nchukwi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | JunYong Park | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.