July 21, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Junior Albini | Timothy Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Junior Albini overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Timothy Johnson.
| Metric | Junior Albini | Timothy Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Junior Albini | Timothy Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:51 | 2:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 118 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +118 | -53 |
Junior Albini earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:51, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Junior Albini | Timothy Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 106 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Junior Albini controlled the striking exchanges with 60.0% vs 46.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Junior Albini capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Junior Albini | Timothy Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 1:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 066 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Junior Albini landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Junior Albini | Timothy Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 025 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Junior Albini demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Junior Albini capitalized on this activity level, while Timothy Johnson's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Albini | Timothy Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Junior Albini started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Timothy Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Junior Albini | Timothy Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.