October 13, 2006
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Junior Assuncao | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Junior Assuncao | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Junior Assuncao | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:04 | 2:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +80 |
Kurt Pellegrino earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:04, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Junior Assuncao | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 921 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Kurt Pellegrino edged the striking exchanges with 30 vs 3 total strikes, 55.6% vs 16.7% accuracy. Kurt Pellegrino capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Junior Assuncao | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 858 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -142 | +142 |
Kurt Pellegrino dominated Junior Assuncao on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:54 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Junior Assuncao | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +55 |
Kurt Pellegrino demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kurt Pellegrino capitalized on this activity level, while Junior Assuncao's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Assuncao | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Kurt Pellegrino started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Junior Assuncao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Junior Assuncao | Kurt Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.