May 24, 2013
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 313 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Junior Dos Santos's 5-fight experience advantage (11 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Junior Dos Santos for the expected result. Had Mark Hunt pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 252 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:18 | 4:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 599 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Junior Dos Santos gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 627 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Junior Dos Santos dominated the striking exchanges with 80 vs 34 total strikes, 74 vs 29 significant strikes, 56.5% vs 29.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:27 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 323 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Junior Dos Santos landed 2 knockdowns followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 297 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -13 |
Junior Dos Santos demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Hunt's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 328 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -9 |
Junior Dos Santos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Hunt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mark Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 169 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.