September 18, 2009
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 137 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Junior Dos Santos overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mirko Filipovic.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:00 | 2:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 285 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -29 |
Junior Dos Santos gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 157 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 305 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Junior Dos Santos dominated the striking exchanges with 83 vs 24 total strikes, 70 vs 22 significant strikes. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:48 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 128 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Junior Dos Santos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mirko Filipovic on the ground with 0:48 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 086 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Junior Dos Santos demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Mirko Filipovic's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Junior Dos Santos extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mirko Filipovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.