June 10, 2011
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 245 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 136 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 450 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Junior Dos Santos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 88 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 188 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 540 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Junior Dos Santos dominated the striking exchanges with 104 vs 22 total strikes, 88 vs 20 significant strikes, 46.8% vs 23.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 0:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 317 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Junior Dos Santos controlled Shane Carwin on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 0:44 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 308 | 343 |
| Activity ELO | 1 237 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Junior Dos Santos demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Shane Carwin's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 7 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 220 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -16 |
Junior Dos Santos continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Shane Carwin's now at 0.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 136 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

