Junior Dos Santos vs Shane Carwin

June 10, 2011

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1285
(+37)
Junior Dos Santos
Winner: Junior Dos Santos
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Junior Dos Santos+37
Shane Carwin-33
1154
(-33)
Shane Carwin

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +29Shane Carwin: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosShane Carwin
Total UFC Fights76
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 2451 155
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +18Shane Carwin: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosShane Carwin
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1361 058
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +37Shane Carwin: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosShane Carwin
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4501 332
ELO Change+37-37
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What Happened

Junior Dos Santos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +83Shane Carwin: -83

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosShane Carwin
Significant Strikes Landed8820
Significant Strikes Attempted18886
Total Strikes Landed10422
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 5401 333
ELO Change+83-83
💡

What Happened

Junior Dos Santos dominated the striking exchanges with 104 vs 22 total strikes, 88 vs 20 significant strikes, 46.8% vs 23.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +47Shane Carwin: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosShane Carwin
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted23
Ground Control Time0:440:56
Ground Strikes Landed190
Ground ELO1 3171 126
ELO Change+47-47
💡

What Happened

Junior Dos Santos controlled Shane Carwin on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 0:44 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +15Shane Carwin: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosShane Carwin
Days Since Last Fight308343
Activity ELO1 2371 102
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

Junior Dos Santos demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Shane Carwin's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +47Shane Carwin: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosShane Carwin
Win Streak70
Win Streak ELO1 2201 074
ELO Change+47-16
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What Happened

Junior Dos Santos continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Shane Carwin's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +18Shane Carwin: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosShane Carwin
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1361 049
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.