February 20, 2009
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:54 | 0:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 227 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -23 |
Junior Dos Santos secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:54 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 261 | 871 |
| ELO Change | +129 | -129 |
Junior Dos Santos dominated the striking exchanges with 12 vs 0 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 112 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 064 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -19 |
Junior Dos Santos demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Stefan Struve's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Junior Dos Santos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stefan Struve is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

