Junior Dos Santos vs Stefan Struve

February 20, 2009

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1114
(+45)
Junior Dos Santos
Winner: Junior Dos Santos
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Junior Dos Santos+45
Stefan Struve-37
963
(-37)
Stefan Struve

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +24Stefan Struve: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosStefan Struve
Total UFC Fights21
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 109976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +20Stefan Struve: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosStefan Struve
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 043980
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +62Stefan Struve: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosStefan Struve
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:540:54
Win Type ELO1 227977
ELO Change+62-23
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What Happened

Junior Dos Santos secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:54 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +129Stefan Struve: -129

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosStefan Struve
Significant Strikes Landed120
Significant Strikes Attempted181
Total Strikes Landed120
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 261871
ELO Change+129-129
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What Happened

Junior Dos Santos dominated the striking exchanges with 12 vs 0 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +42Stefan Struve: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosStefan Struve
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:060:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 112958
ELO Change+42-42
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +39Stefan Struve: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosStefan Struve
Days Since Last Fight120N/A
Activity ELO1 064981
ELO Change+39-19
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What Happened

Junior Dos Santos demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Stefan Struve's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +23Stefan Struve: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosStefan Struve
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 049981
ELO Change+23-19
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What Happened

Junior Dos Santos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stefan Struve is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Junior Dos Santos: +20Stefan Struve: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJunior Dos SantosStefan Struve
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 043980
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.