December 12, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 315 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Junior Dos Santos's 5-fight experience advantage (13 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Junior Dos Santos for the expected result. Had Stipe Miocic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 247 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 571 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Junior Dos Santos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 123 | 89 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 303 | 193 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 140 | 102 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 551 | 1 298 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Junior Dos Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 140 vs 102 total strikes, 123 vs 89 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 18 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:19 | 3:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 329 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Junior Dos Santos landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 421 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 289 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -16 |
Junior Dos Santos demonstrated extended layoff with 421 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Stipe Miocic's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 315 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -11 |
Junior Dos Santos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stipe Miocic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 166 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.