May 12, 2017
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 268 | 1 373 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +33 |
Stipe Miocic overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Junior Dos Santos.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 210 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +58 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Stipe Miocic captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:22 | 2:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 524 | 1 799 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +43 |
Stipe Miocic earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 386 | 1 724 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Stipe Miocic controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 12 significant strikes, 46.4% vs 66.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stipe Miocic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 249 | 1 497 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Stipe Miocic landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 398 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 276 | 1 354 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Stipe Miocic demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Stipe Miocic capitalized on this activity level, while Junior Dos Santos's 398-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 269 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +47 |
Stipe Miocic continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Junior Dos Santos's now at 0.
| Metric | Junior Dos Santos | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 136 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.