October 12, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Sean Sharaf |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 002 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Junior Tafa's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Junior Tafa for the expected result. Had Sean Sharaf pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Sean Sharaf |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 987 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Sean Sharaf |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:15 | 2:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 109 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -38 |
Junior Tafa gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Sean Sharaf |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 128 | 118 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 011 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Junior Tafa controlled the striking exchanges with 71 vs 53 significant strikes, 55.5% vs 44.9% accuracy. Junior Tafa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Sean Sharaf |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 825 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Junior Tafa did not secure a significant ground advantage against Sean Sharaf on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Sean Sharaf |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 57 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 103 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -21 |
Junior Tafa demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 57 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Junior Tafa capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Sharaf's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Sean Sharaf |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 993 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Junior Tafa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Sharaf is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Sean Sharaf |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 987 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

