August 16, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 968 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +40 |
Valter Walker overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Junior Tafa.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:56 | 4:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 030 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +95 |
Valter Walker earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 941 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Valter Walker slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 62.5% accuracy. Valter Walker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 793 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -123 | +123 |
Valter Walker dominated Junior Tafa on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:54 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +47 |
Valter Walker demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Valter Walker capitalized on this activity level, while Junior Tafa's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 968 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Valter Walker started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Junior Tafa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Junior Tafa | Valter Walker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.