August 15, 2014
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jussier Formiga | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 073 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Jussier Formiga's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jussier Formiga for the expected result. Had Zach Makovsky pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jussier Formiga | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 031 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jussier Formiga | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 118 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Jussier Formiga earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jussier Formiga | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 966 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Zach Makovsky controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (25 vs 11). However, since Zach Makovsky lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jussier Formiga's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jussier Formiga | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:42 | 4:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 130 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Jussier Formiga edged out Zach Makovsky on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 4:42 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jussier Formiga | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 146 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 078 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -24 |
Jussier Formiga demonstrated solid activity levels with 146 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jussier Formiga capitalized on this activity level, while Zach Makovsky's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jussier Formiga | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 043 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Jussier Formiga extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zach Makovsky is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jussier Formiga | Zach Makovsky |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.