August 20, 2004
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justin Eilers | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 076 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Justin Eilers | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justin Eilers | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:14 | 1:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 125 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +125 | -52 |
Justin Eilers earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:14, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Justin Eilers | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 109 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +109 | -109 |
Justin Eilers controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Justin Eilers capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Justin Eilers | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Justin Eilers | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 022 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Justin Eilers demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Justin Eilers capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Kyle's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Eilers | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Justin Eilers started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Kyle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justin Eilers | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.