November 18, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justin Ledet | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Justin Ledet | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justin Ledet | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:16 | 2:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 107 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -37 |
Justin Ledet earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:16, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Justin Ledet | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 059 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Mark Godbeer controlled the striking through superior accuracy (45.5% vs 27.3%). However, since Mark Godbeer lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Justin Ledet's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Justin Ledet | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:15 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 136 | 885 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -115 |
Justin Ledet dominated Mark Godbeer on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:15 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Justin Ledet | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -20 |
Justin Ledet demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Justin Ledet capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Godbeer's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Ledet | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Justin Ledet extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Godbeer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justin Ledet | Mark Godbeer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

