August 28, 2009
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justin McCully | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Mike Russow overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Justin McCully.
| Metric | Justin McCully | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justin McCully | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 027 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Mike Russow earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Justin McCully | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 997 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Mike Russow dominated the striking exchanges with 87 vs 35 total strikes, 21 vs 11 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 19.0% accuracy. Mike Russow capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Justin McCully | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:31 | 11:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 901 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -124 | +124 |
Mike Russow dominated Justin McCully on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 11:24 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Justin McCully | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 262 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Mike Russow demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Mike Russow capitalized on this activity level, while Justin McCully's 262-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justin McCully | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Mike Russow started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin McCully is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justin McCully | Mike Russow |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.