June 7, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justin Salas | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Justin Salas | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justin Salas | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:06 | 1:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 000 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +101 |
Tim Means earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Justin Salas | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 879 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -153 | +153 |
Tim Means dominated the striking exchanges with 30 vs 5 total strikes, 26 vs 5 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Justin Salas | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 029 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Tim Means landed 2 knockdowns followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Justin Salas | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 114 | 114 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Tim Means demonstrated solid activity levels with 114 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Salas's 114-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Salas | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Tim Means extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Salas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justin Salas | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.