November 18, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 013 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 015 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:55 | 1:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 095 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +67 |
Pedro Munhoz earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:55, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Justin Scoggins was submitted.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 105 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Justin Scoggins controlled the striking through superior volume (44 vs 28 total strikes), significant strike advantage (44 vs 28). However, since Justin Scoggins lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Pedro Munhoz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 083 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 136 |
| Activity ELO | 1 051 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +45 |
Pedro Munhoz demonstrated solid activity levels with 136 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Scoggins's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Pedro Munhoz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Scoggins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 015 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

