February 5, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 138 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Justin Scoggins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 130 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Justin Scoggins controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 45 total strikes, 57 vs 20 significant strikes. Justin Scoggins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:14 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | +117 | -117 |
Justin Scoggins controlled Ray Borg on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 7:14 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 260 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -24 |
Justin Scoggins demonstrated standard activity with 260 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Justin Scoggins capitalized on this activity level, while Ray Borg's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Justin Scoggins extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ray Borg is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Justin Scoggins | Ray Borg |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.